Epic Games has revealed the official treasure chest drop rates for Fortnite’s Treasure Hunters mini-season, confirming that the highly sought-after Pirate Shop Access reward has just a 1-in-137,500 chance of appearing in a chest during a normal match. The Weekly Gold Outfit is even rarer, with a probability of 1 in 1,562,500.
The figures were published through the official Fortnite Status account on November 7, 2026, providing players with a clearer understanding of the limited-time rewards introduced during the pirate-themed season. Epic also confirmed that scheduled Treasure Hours temporarily increase the chances of obtaining certain rare items.
The disclosure arrives as Fortnite Treasure Hunters Week 2 introduces Lil Uzi Vert's Stronghold and additional pirate-themed content. Unlike those gameplay additions, the newly disclosed probabilities explain how difficult it is to obtain the season’s rarest chest rewards.
Epic’s official figures establish seven reward categories, each with its own probability of appearing when players open a chest in a normal match.
The Weekly Gold Outfit has the lowest probability at 1 in 1,562,500, followed by Pirate Shop Access at 1 in 137,500. Weekly Vehicle and Decal rewards have a 1-in-7,813 chance, while the Weekly Pickaxe or Back Bling category has a 1-in-568 chance.
More common rewards include the Weekly Jam Track at 1 in 391, the Weekly Loading Screen at 1 in 272, and any Gizmo at 1 in 127.
For Week 2, the reward lineup highlighted by Fortnite community account ShiinaBR includes the Gold Lil Uzi Vert Outfit, Cadillac CT5-V Blackwing, Diamond and Gold Back Bling, London Jam Track, and So Kawaii Loading Screen. These correspond to the reward categories covered by Epic’s published probability figures.
The Pirate Shop Access reward is particularly significant because it provides access to eligible Item Shop cosmetics without their usual V-Bucks cost for a limited period. The first reported discovery of Pirate Shop Access demonstrated that the reward was obtainable, but Epic’s newly published numbers reveal just how uncommon it is.
A probability of 1 in 137,500 translates to approximately 0.000727% per chest. That does not mean players are guaranteed to obtain Pirate Shop Access after opening 137,500 chests. Each opening offers a chance at the reward, and even a large number of attempts cannot guarantee success.
Epic clarified that the base drop rates have remained constant since the Treasure Hunters season began on November 1. They do not change throughout the day under normal circumstances, with Treasure Hours being the exception.
During the November 7 Treasure Hours, Epic outlined a 1.5-times multiplier for Pirate Shop Access, a 7.5-times multiplier for the Weekly Gold Outfit, and a 10-times multiplier for the Weekly Vehicle and Decal category.
A subsequent Treasure Hour on November 7, running from 9 p.m. to 11 p.m. Eastern Time, increased the Pirate Shop Access multiplier to 2.0 times and the Weekly Gold Outfit multiplier to 10.0 times.
At those higher rates, the approximate probability of obtaining Pirate Shop Access improved to 1 in 68,750 chests, while the Weekly Gold Outfit improved to 1 in 156,250. Both remained exceptionally rare despite the temporary increases.
These multipliers applied to the specified November 7 events rather than becoming permanent changes to normal-match drop rates. Epic indicated that future Treasure Hours could feature different boosts, with details to be announced separately.
Another important restriction concerns duplicate rewards. Epic confirmed that players cannot receive the same treasure reward twice, with Gizmos being the exception. This means eligible one-time rewards are removed from repeat acquisition after they have been obtained.
The probability disclosure also puts the previously revealed Gold A$AP Rocky and Lil Uzi Vert cosmetic rewards into perspective. Although these rare outfits are available through the season’s treasure system, their extremely low base probabilities make obtaining them through ordinary chest openings unlikely.
For players pursuing the rarest cosmetics, Treasure Hours provide substantially better probabilities than standard matches. However, even the increased rates leave Pirate Shop Access and Weekly Gold Outfits far less common than the other rewards available from Treasure Hunters chests.
Epic’s newly disclosed figures give players a measurable basis for deciding how much time to spend opening chests, while confirming that the rarest rewards remain difficult to obtain even during boosted events.
